Oscar Talk - Part 1

I'll have an arcticle in the upcoming Sheaf and I'll have more accurate predictions and such after I finish seeing some more films this weekend. Still I have some things to say. Firstly lets discuss the Best Supporting Actor race.

Performance by an actor in a supporting role

Alan Alda in "The Aviator"

Thomas Hadyn Church in "Sideways"

Jamie Foxx in "Collateral"

Morgan Freeman in "Million Dollar Baby"

Clive Owen in "Closer"

This is a relatively competitive category. Some people have been saying that Jamie Foxx's votes are going to be split between "Collateral" and "Ray," but I just don't see that happening. Firstly Jamie has so much momentum in the Best Actor category, and secondly there's a lot of really close competition in this category already that I don't think a significant number of voters are going to give Jamie's role in "Collateral" much thought (although I for one thought he was excellent and perhaps more accomplished in that film. It's one thing to give an award for good acting rather than being a good mimic). I think the award could go to either Clive Owen, whose performance in "Closer" was outstanding, or Thomas Hadyn Church ("Sideways"), especially seeing as how they snubbed Paul Giamatti! Alan Alda has an outside shot, but seeing as "The Aviator already has so many nominations I don't think this is one that it's going to get, but he is a beloved Hollywood character playing out of type. Morgan Freeman just doesn't have the buzz around him, so I don't see it happening. On top of that "Million Dollar Baby" is going to rack up enough stuff anyway, at least that's what I predict.